Onto a land that had been farming country, after the war, people and goods poured in from across the sea and from inside and outside the prefecture. In the town before the gate of a base a performing-arts culture was born, and the city grew to the second-largest scale in the prefecture after Naha. Okinawa City’s numbers are the record of a central city that, amid the many regional cities losing population, has still kept increasing.
The second-most populous city in the prefecture, opening onto the central part of the main island of Okinawa. The population has increased over twenty years, from about 120,000 in 2000 to 142,752 in 2020. What I (Atlas) want to read here is not the sign "a base town," but the causal thread: how the past of "from Koza to Okinawa City" is translated into today’s population growth and number of children.
01 · Confirming, in its numbers, a city that keeps increasing
In the latest Population Census the population is about 143,000 (142,752 in 2020). This city’s population, from 119,686 in 2000 to 126,400 in 2005, 130,249 in 2010, and 139,279 in 2015, has consistently kept increasing — not by a merger-derived step. Among the nation, where regional cities that lose population are many, having kept an increasing trend over twenty years places it in a small minority.
Looking inside, a form different from many other regional cities appears. The under-15 population, from 25,722 in 2000 to 23,829 in 2020, decreased by only about two thousand over twenty years. The aging rate rose from 11.9% in 2000 to 20.2% in 2020, but this is a low level among the nation, where many cities exceed three in ten. The household-with-children share is high at 25.1%, and the crude birth rate, at 10.5 per thousand, is on the high side nationwide. The Fiscal Capacity Index was 0.57 in fiscal 2023. The total population increases, and the layer of children is also kept thick — where this form comes from cannot be read without going back to the past of "from Koza to Okinawa City."
Source: Population Census (Statistics Bureau, MIC) / Real Estate Information Library (MLIT) / Local Government Finance Survey (MIC) / Childcare Facility Status Report (Children and Families Agency)
02 · From Koza to Okinawa City — the history behind the numbers
The present form of Okinawa City is set by the rapid urbanization of the postwar years. This stretch, originally peaceful farming country, changed its character entirely through the Battle of Okinawa, the confusion after the war’s end, and the process by which U.S. military facilities were placed here. Before the gate of the facilities, commerce and dwellings gathered, and from inside and outside the prefecture, and from across the sea, people and goods flowed into this land. Farming country changed, in a short time, into a city.
The administrative frame born in that process is Koza. In 1956, Goeku Village enacted city status to become Koza City, and the central urban district that developed as a town before the gate of the facilities became the prefecture’s foremost downtown from the 1960s through the 1980s. And in this city, a performing-arts culture grew. Folk song, and the music later called Okinawan rock, spread from this land across the nation, and together with a distinctive food culture and fashion, a culture of mingling called "Koza culture" and "champuru culture" took shape.
The present name of the city was born in 1974. In that year, Koza City and Misato Village merged anew, and Okinawa City was established. The central city of the central main island, holding the second-largest population in the prefecture, gained its form through this merger. Beginning as farming country, urbanizing rapidly after the war, raising a culture in the town before the gate, and becoming Okinawa City through the merger of Koza City and Misato Village — this city’s form stands upon the past of "from Koza to Okinawa City."
Source: Okinawa City (the course of Okinawa City — the 40th anniversary of city status) / Okinawa City Tourism Portal Koza Web (about Koza) / Okinawa City / Koza City (history / the 1974 merger / Koza culture / music — overview)
03 · People increase, and the layer of children stays thick
What characterizes Okinawa City is that the total population keeps increasing without a merger, and moreover the layer of children is kept thick. That the under-15 population decreased by only about two thousand over twenty years is striking among the nation, where in many cities the children decrease by three or four in ten. Behind this lies the crude birth rate, high at 10.5 per thousand, and the household-with-children share of 25.1%, also at a high level. The growth of the total population and the thickness of the layer of children continue at the same time in the same city.
On the other hand, another number appears at the front line of childcare. The Childcare Waitlist still remains in recent years, counting 32 in 2024 and 14 in 2025 most recently. This is the reverse of the many regional cities where children decrease and supply and demand loosen: it shows that, because the child-rearing households are thick, a phase remains in which demand for places to entrust children exceeds supply. The aging rate rose from 11.9% to 20.2% over twenty years, but is still low from the national level. The city, which urbanized from farming country and raised a culture in the town before the gate, still increases its people, keeps the layer of children thick, and holds the weight of childcare demand. The total population increases, the children are thick, and the Waitlist still remains — the structure, the reverse of that of cities losing population, in which an increasing city instead holds a shortage of childcare, appears here.
Source: Childcare Facility Status Report (Children and Families Agency) / Population Census (Statistics Bureau, MIC) / Local Government Finance Survey (MIC)
04 · From farming country to the second city of the prefecture — the outline a swiftness left
In Okinawa City, the swiftness of change by which farming country became the prefecture’s second city in the few years after the war is inscribed first. Before the gate of the facilities, commerce and dwellings gathered, and from inside and outside the prefecture and from across the sea, people and goods flowed in. Out of that mingling, folk song and the music later called Okinawan rock were born, and a distinctive blend called "Koza culture" grew. The position of the central main island layered upon this city the role of tying together Naha to the south and the municipalities to the north.
From farming country, to the town before the gate and the downtown of Koza City, to the place of origin of Koza culture, and to the prefecture’s second city formed by the merger of Koza City and Misato Village — this city’s outline is made by the swiftness of change compressed into the short time after the war, and the culture born of mingling, folded together upon the position of the central main island.
Source: Okinawa City / Koza City (history / the 1974 merger / Koza culture / music — overview) / Okinawa City Tourism Portal Koza Web (about Koza)
05 · Atlas’s note — reading the numbers of a city that keeps increasing, from its performing arts and its childcare demand
Lay out Okinawa City’s numbers and indicators rare among the nation, where regional cities that lose population are many, line up: population increase without a merger, the thickness of the layer of children, a high birth rate, a Waitlist that still remains, and a fiscal capacity of 0.57. Tracing the overlap of the numbers with the eye of a certified public accountant, what I most want to fix here is, rather than the total population increasing itself, the thickness of the layer of children — that the under-15 population decreased by only two thousand over twenty years. While many cities face a sharp decrease of children, this city has kept the number of the younger generation. That shows in the height of the crude birth rate at 10.5.
However, that thickness becomes a load at the front line of childcare too. Unlike the many regional cities where children decreased and the Waitlist vanished, here a phase still remains in which demand exceeds supply. The Fiscal Capacity Index of 0.57 is a number showing the structure in which own tax revenue can cover only about six-tenths of expenditure, the shortfall made up by the local allocation tax and the like. That the population increases and the children are thick, and the degree of fiscal independence, need to be read separately.
A land that had been farming country overflows with performing arts, and the voices of children still do not cease — what one finds in this city that keeps increasing will change with each person’s way of dwelling.
Source: Population Census (Statistics Bureau, MIC) / Okinawa City / Koza City (history / the 1974 merger / Koza culture / music — overview) / Okinawa City Tourism Portal Koza Web (about Koza)
Editor’s note: all figures and sources are drawn from official statistics. The prose follows Atlas’s voice, and AI (atlas-handcrafted-reverse-v1 (Daiki 2026-05-29)) handled the shaping of the text. Evaluative or predictive language (such as “a good buy” or “attractive”) is intentionally left out. Revision id: wave8g_3