There is a castle that a daimyo, later entrusted with the whole province of Tosa, governed while still new to holding a castle. A Tokaido post town, one of the country’s leading tea regions, and that castle town overlap in one city. Kakegawa’s numbers are the record of a city of Enshu bearing three histories: castle, highway and tea.
A castle town opening onto the plain of Enshu, in the western part of Shizuoka Prefecture. The population, across a merger, moved nearly flat from about 118,000 in 2005 to 114,954 in 2020. What I (Atlas) want to read here is not the image "a famous tea-producing region," but the causal thread: how the history — castle town, Tokaido post town, tea, merger — is translated into today’s number of children and fiscal capacity.
01 · Trace the present Kakegawa in its numbers
In the latest Population Census the population is about 115,000 (114,954 in 2020). What I want first to note is that the sharp increase of something over thirty-seven thousand, from 80,217 in 2000 to 117,857 in 2005, is not the result of people increasing naturally. It is due to the former Kakegawa City and two towns forming a new merged municipality in 2005, and the step in the numbers mirrors that merger.
With that in view, looking inside the figures after the merger, from 117,857 in 2005 to 114,954 in 2020 it stayed within a decline of about three thousand in fifteen years, holding nearly flat. This is rare among the many provincial cities whose population keeps declining. On the other hand, those under 15 declined gently from 17,103 in 2005 to 15,655 in 2020, and the share aged 65 and over rose from 17.8% in 2000 to 27.9% in 2020. The household-with-children share is high at 24.5%, the Childcare Waitlist has been zero in recent years, and the Fiscal Capacity Index was 0.84 in fiscal 2023. The figure of a provincial city with an industrial base, keeping its population while keeping the weight of child-rearing households constant, appears in the numbers. Why it takes this shape cannot be read without going back over the history of castle, highway and tea.
Source: Population Census (Statistics Bureau, MIC) / Real Estate Information Library (MLIT) / Local Government Finance Survey (MIC) / Childcare Facility Status Report (Children and Families Agency)
02 · Castle town, Tokaido post town, tea, merger — the history behind the numbers
Kakegawa’s skeleton is set by one castle and by the highway passing before it. In the Azuchi-Momoyama period, this land was the castle town of Yamauchi Kazutoyo. Kazutoyo later became, by his merit at Sekigahara, the daimyo of the whole province of Tosa and moved to Kochi, but he spent an early period of governing his domain as a castle-holding daimyo here in Kakegawa. By that connection, Kakegawa still continues exchanges with the distant city of Kochi. The castle from the warring-states period into the early modern age was this city’s first foundation.
In the Edo era, Kakegawa was at once a castle town and a flourishing Tokaido post town. As a key point along the highway joining Edo and Kyoto, a post town where people and goods came and went opened at the foot of the castle. The two characters of castle town and post town set the town at the center of the plain.
And another face of this area is tea. The hills of Enshu, including Kakegawa, are a land suited to growing tea, and their output is held to be among the country’s leading, with the tea made here registered as a regional collective trademark as "Kakegawa tea." The town holding the three characters of castle town, post town and tea, in 2005, had the former Kakegawa City, Daito Town and Osuka Town form a new merged municipality, widening into the present city area that includes the coastal region. Beginning as the castle town of Yamauchi Kazutoyo, flourishing as a Tokaido post town, becoming a tea-producing region, and widening by merger — this city’s shape stands upon the history of castle, highway and tea.
Source: Kakegawa City / Kakegawa (history / Kakegawa Castle / Yamauchi Kazutoyo / the post station / tea / the merger — overview) / Kakegawa City (the regional collective trademark of Kakegawa tea)
03 · Keeping the population, keeping the weight of child-rearing households too
What characterizes Kakegawa is that, in the fifteen years after the merger, the population has held nearly flat and the household-with-children share is also kept high. That the total population has hardly decreased can be read as an expression of how the location — holding a stop on the Tomei Expressway and the Shinkansen, and an industrial base of agriculture, tea foremost, and of manufacturing — has roughly balanced the inflow and outflow of young households. The household-with-children share of 24.5% is on the relatively high side among the many provincial cities whose population declines.
The numbers of living infrastructure also mirror this stability. The primary schools increased from sixteen to twenty-three with the merger of 2005, and the school networks of the combined towns were bundled. They have since moved around twenty-two, and even as children decline gently, the school network dispersed across the widened city area is roughly kept. The Childcare Waitlist has stayed zero in recent years. The town that opened as the castle town of Yamauchi Kazutoyo, flourished as a Tokaido post town, and became a tea region now, with the industrial base at its back, keeps its population and keeps the weight of child-rearing households. The total population is flat, children decline gently, and the aging proceeds. These three are separate faces of one make-up: the three foundations of castle, highway and tea having gone on holding households in place.
Source: School Basic Survey (MEXT) / Childcare Facility Status Report (Children and Families Agency) / Population Census (Statistics Bureau, MIC)
04 · A plain where castle, highway and tea overlap
Kakegawa holds several functions of its own. One is the history of the castle town of Yamauchi Kazutoyo, where, as the foot of a castle once governed by a daimyo who later moved to Tosa, exchanges with the city of Kochi still continue. Another is the character along the highway where, as a Tokaido post town, people and goods came and went, still connecting to convenience of traffic today. And it holds the face of agriculture as one of the country’s leading tea-producing regions.
Kakegawa is a city of the plain of Enshu where three things — castle, highway and tea — overlap. From the castle town of Yamauchi Kazutoyo, to the Tokaido post town, to the tea region, and to the city area widened by merger — the history of "a daimyo later entrusted with Tosa setting up a castle, the Tokaido passing before it, and tea growing on the hills" called the town and the industry, and set the city’s skeleton. A daimyo later entrusted with Tosa set up a castle, the Tokaido passed before it, and tea grew on the hills behind. Walk this city, and one notices that the castle’s stone walls, the traces of the post town, and the scent of the tea fields covering the hills lie side by side within the same plain.
Source: Kakegawa City / Kakegawa (history / Kakegawa Castle / Yamauchi Kazutoyo / the post station / tea / the merger — overview) / Kakegawa City (the regional collective trademark of Kakegawa tea)
05 · Atlas note — a connection of four hundred years ago still joins Kakegawa and Kochi
Lay out Kakegawa’s numbers and the indicators of a provincial city keeping its population with an industrial base at its back line up: a nearly flat population, a high household-with-children share, advancing aging, and a fiscal capacity of 0.84. But what I (Atlas), with the accountant’s eye, most want to take care over is not reading the sharp increase from 2000 to 2005 straight as "a city where people gather." The true nature of the step is the new merger of 2005, and the population did not increase naturally. To read the trajectory as one city, it is sound to read from 2005, after the merger, and there it is nearly flat.
The two numbers, a Fiscal Capacity Index of 0.84 and a household-with-children share of 24.5%, can be read as showing that agriculture, tea foremost, and the industrial base of manufacturing have left this city a thickness of tax source and employment. By the connection of Yamauchi Kazutoyo having set out from here to become the daimyo of the whole province of Tosa, Kakegawa still does not let its going and coming with the distant city of Kochi lapse. A connection one castellan tied four hundred years ago still joins the two cities — such a thread of history runs behind the numbers of the flat population and the fiscal capacity of 0.84. I (Atlas) hold it my work to set that thread beside the numbers, up to there. Whether one passes through Kakegawa as one city of Enshu, or walks it as a town where castle, highway and tea lie side by side on the same plain, the outline that comes into view differs entirely.
Source: Population Census (Statistics Bureau, MIC) / Kakegawa City / Kakegawa (history / Kakegawa Castle / Yamauchi Kazutoyo / the post station / tea / the merger — overview) / Kakegawa City (the regional collective trademark of Kakegawa tea)
Editor’s note: all figures and sources are drawn from official statistics. The prose follows Atlas’s voice, and AI (atlas-handcrafted-reverse-v1 (Daiki 2026-05-29)) handled the shaping of the text. Evaluative or predictive language (such as “a good buy” or “attractive”) is intentionally left out. Revision id: wave8e_2